FUTURE Advisory Panel on Status, Outlooks, Forecasts, and Engagement
  • Acronym: AP-SOFE
  • Parent Committee: SB
  • Term: Oct. 2009 - Oct. 2014
    Appoved at PICES-2009
  • Past Chairs:
    Phillip Mundy (Oct. 2012 - Oct. 2014, U.S.A.)
    Robin Brown (Oct. 2009 - Oct. 2012, Canada)

The Advisory Panel on Status, Outlooks, Forecasts, and Engagement (SOFE) is focused on identifying major sources of uncertainty and impediments to improving the skill of assessments and forecasts, suggesting research areas for priority development, and providing coordination of potential PICES products. SOFE will provide for a PICES final peer review on information and interpretations, and work on how to engage potential users of North Pacific ecosystem and climate information, including the quality of information and uncertainty.

SOFE will be associated initially with the following expert groups:

  • joint PICES/ICES Working Group on Forecasting Climate Change Impacts on Fish and Shellfish (WG 25)
  • Study Group on Human Dimensions of Environmental Change SG-HD (and its follower)
Terms of Reference
  1. Establish a list of specific FUTURE priority topics, activities and products for review by the Science Board;
  2. Work with existing expert groups associated with FUTURE to review and revise, if needed, their Terms of Reference;
  3. Work with the Scientific and Technical Committees and the PICES community to identify gaps in the priorities and activities of the expert groups and to provide recommendations to the Science Board;
  4. Coordinate with the Scientific and Technical Committees in developing Terms of Reference for new expert groups to be part of FUTURE;
  5. Coordinate with the Editors of the next version of the North Pacific Ecosystem Status Report and advise on how the Report should be updated in the future;
  6. Work with the Communication Study Group and the Study Group on Human Dimensions of Environmental Change to commence the review of user characteristics for FUTURE products;
  7. Recommend expert groups to identify major sources of uncertainty and impediments to improving the skill of assessments and forecasts, suggest research areas for priority development, and provide coordination of potential PICES products;
  8. Provide for a PICES final peer review on information and interpretations
Products
Annual Meetings

Reports

2013, 2012, 2011, 2010

Session and Workshop Summaries

TBA

FUTURE projects

TBA

PICES Press
TBA
PICES Scientific Reports
TBA
Primary Journals
TBA
Related Materials
TBA
Other Publications
TBA
Members as of December 2014
Robin M. Brown
Fisheries and Oceans Canada
Institute of Ocean Sciences
P.O. Box 6000 9860 West Saanich Rd.
Sidney, BC
Canada V8L 4B2
E-mail: robin.brown(at)dfo-mpo.gc.ca
Lei Zhou
Second Insitute of Oceanography, SOA
No. 36 Baochu Bei Rd. Research Building, Room 1107
Hangzhou, Zhejiang
China, PR 310012
E-mail: zhoulei_zq(at)hotmail.com
Shin-ichi Ito
Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute
The University of Tokyo
5-1-5 Kashiwanoha
Kashiwa, Chiba
Japan 277-8564
E-mail: goito(at)aori.u-tokyo.ac.jp
Chang-Ik Zhang
Division of Marine Production System Management
Pukyong National University
599-1 Daeyeon-3-dong, Nam-gu
Busan
Korea, R 608-737
E-mail: cizhang(at)pknu.ac.kr
Oleg N. Katugin
Division for International Scientific Cooperation
Pacific Research Institute of Fisheries and Oceanography (TINRO-Center)
4 Shevchenko Alley
Vladivostok
Russia 690090
E-mail: oleg.katugin(at)tinro-center.ru
Phillip R. Mundy
Auke Bay Laboratories
Alaska Fisheries Science Center, NMFS, NOAA
Ted Stevens Marine Research Institute, 17109 Pt. Lena Loop Rd.
Juneau, AK
U.S.A. 99801
E-mail: Phil.mundy(at)noaa.gov
William T. Peterson
Northwest Fisheries Science Center (NWFSC), NMFS, NOAA
Hatfield Marine Science Center, 2030 SE Marine Science Dr.
Newport, OR
U.S.A. 97365
E-mail: Bill.Peterson(at)noaa.gov